EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050

Illustrative Scenarios Tool

The SULTAN (SUstainabLe TrANsport) Illustrative Scenarios Tool has been developed as a high-level calculator (not an in-depth model) to help provide indicative estimates of the possible impacts of policy on transport in the EU (primarily energy use and GHG emissions, also costs, NOx and PM emissions).  The purpose of the tool is to allow the quick scoping of a wide range of transport policy options to help get a feel for what scale of action might be required and will also be used as part of the analysis for the final written technical outputs of the project.

EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050 II project 

Draft Final updates to the SULTAN tool, its viewer and accompanying scenario files (all zipped Excel files) are provided below:

SULTAN Illustrative Scenarios Tool (Version 6.0) - (6.5MB, updated 25/04/12)

SULTAN Results Viewer (Version 5.0) - (0.8MB, updated 25/04/12)

Policy Scenario Databases and Pre-Generated Results files (Results updated 24/02/12. Policy DB updated 25/04/12): 

• Original Scenarios (updated from previous project) - Database File (4.7MB); Results File (10.4MB)
• New Small Scenarios (Task 6) - Database File (0.9MB); Results File (2.2MB)
• Routes to 2050 Scenarios (Task 6) - Database File (2.1MB); Results File (5.2MB)
• Policy by 2020 Scenarios (Task 7) - Database File (2.4MB); Results File (6.1MB)
• Road Vehicle Standard Scenarios (Task 11 Paper 3)  - Database File (3.7MB ; Results File (9.3MB)

Note: all Excel files need to be extracted from their zipped versions in order to work properly and macros need to be enabled to use the SULTAN tool and results viewer. 

EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050? project

A work in progress version of the tool was presented at the project Meeting 6 in Brussels on 15 February 2010 – a presentation can be found here, with the first full beta version presented at the final stakeholder event here.

The final version of the tool is freely available for download and use below:

SULTAN lllustrative Scenarios Tool – Final version (zip file - 9.73MB updated 11/10/10)*

The zip file contains three MS Excel spreadsheets (in Excel 97-2003 compatible file format):

1. the SULTAN Illustrative Scenarios Tool itself;
2. a pre-populated Illustrative Scenarios file; and
3. the SULTAN Results Viewer to allow the outputs from the tool (generated as a separate file) to be quickly analysed.

A full description of the development, data sources and definition of illustrative scenarios and summary of the results may be found in Project Report VII, which is available for download from the Reports section of this website. This report also includes a basic user guide. Alternatively, a stand-alone version of the user guide is available for download here.

In addition, a pre-generated results file with all the scenario outputs is available for download here (zip file - 7.52MB updated 11/10/10)*.

The tool has been pre-populated with 20 policy scenarios (plus a number of variants), and offers the option of adding user-generated scenarios.

 * This is an updated version correcting errors for CNG and EV technology efficiencies for Medium and Heavy Trucks and for Buses present in the previous 14/06/10 version.