Funded by the
European Commission

European Commission

Event Information

About the Project

The contribution of transport to GHG emissions 
Background to the first project and its objectives
Background to the second project and its objectives

EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050 II is a 15-month project funded by the European Commission's DG Climate Action that started in January 2011 and was completed in July 2012.  The context of the project was the Commission's long-term objective for tackling climate change. The scope of the first project was very ambitious, and the outputs from the study were very detailed and have already proved to be of great value to the European Commission and to industry, governmental and NGO stakeholders. However, there were a number of topic areas where it was not possible within the time and resources available for the study team to carry out completely comprehensive research and analysis. In particular, as the project evolved, both the study team and the Commission Services became aware that there were a number of themes and topic areas that would benefit from further, more detailed research.

This second project is a direct follow-on piece of research to the previous EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050? project, building on the research and analysis carried out for that study and complementing other work carried out for the forthcoming Transport White Paper. In particular, the outputs from this new study will help the Commission in prioritising and developing the key future policy measures that will be critical in ensuring that GHG emissions from the transport sector can be reduced significantly in future years.

Therefore, the key objectives of the EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050 II are defined as to build on the work carried out in the previous project to:

- Develop an enhanced understanding of the wider potential impacts of transport GHG reduction policies, as well as their possible significance in a critical path to GHG reductions to 2050.

- Further develop the SULTAN illustrative scenarios tool to enhance its usefulness as a policy scoping tool and carry out further scenario analysis in support of the new project;

- Use the new information in the evaluation of a series of alternative pathways to transport GHG reduction for 2050, in the context of the 50-70% reduction target for transport from the European Commission's Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050 [1];

As before, given the timescales being considered, the project will take a quantitative approach to the analysis where possible, and a qualitative approach where this is not feasible. The project has been structured against a number tasks:


Task 1: Development of a better understanding of the scale of co-benefits associated with transport sector GHG reduction policies;

Task 2: The role of GHG emissions from infrastructure construction, vehicle manufacturing, and ELVs in overall transport sector emissions;

Task 3: Exploration of the knock-on consequences of relevant potential policies;

Task 4: Exploration of the potential for less transport-intensive paths to societal goals;

Task 5: Identification of the major risks/uncertainties associated with the achievability of the policies and measures considered in the illustrative scenarios;

Task 6: Further development of the SULTAN tool and illustrative scenarios;

Task 7: Exploration of the interaction between the policies that can be put in place prior to 2020 and those achievable later in the time period;

Task 8: Development of a better understanding of the cost effectiveness of different policies and policy packages;

Task 9: Stakeholder engagement: organisation of technical level meetings for experts and stakeholders;

Task 10: Hosting the existing project website and its content;

Task 11: Ad-hoc work requests to cover work beyond that covered in the rest of the work plan.


As in the previous project, stakeholder engagement is an important element of the project and a number of meetings were scheduled, with further details provided on the Events page.

As part of the project a number of papers were produced, all of which have been made available on the project's website in first draft and then final form on the Reports page, as well as all of the presentations from the project's meetings.



  1. COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT, THE COUNCIL, THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMITTEE AND THE COMMITTEE OF THE REGIONS, A Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050, COM(2011) 112 final.  Available from DG Climate Actions website at:


Last Updated on Monday 16 July 2012